Tesla Earnings Preview: All Eyes On Unit Guidance

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Tesla Motors IncTSLA
will report its Q4 earnings results after Wednesday's market close. The stock has seen quite a fall since the start of the year. Wall Street's
fourth-quarter forecast
calls for Tesla's EPS to swing from -$0.13 in last year's quaretr to a profit of $0.09, though that estimate ticked down a penny in the past 60 days. The consensus of 193 Estimize respondents sees EPS of only $0.04 for the three months that ended in December. Revenue narrowly topped consensus estimates in the previous two periods. This time, Estimize is looking for about $1.79 billion, in line with what Wall Street expects. That would be more than 63 percent higher than year-ago revenue. Estimize Founder Leigh Drogen
recently wrote
, "This year Tesla delivered a record 50,000 vehicles but failed to meet volume expectations the company set earlier in the year... Tesla has made heavy investments in launching its first SUV and building out a sustainable battery. If the Model X SUV misses sales forecasts like the Model S sedan, it could have a crippling effect on the stock in 2016. As production ramps up, energy credits from green technology are expected to shrink proportionally to sales growth." Related Link:
Could Tesla's Stock Be Headed For Double Digits?
A Benzinga
Twitter
poll asked what people were most they thought was most important in the earnings call. Tesla's unit guidance was the faraway winner, with 51 percent on the vote. An update on the Model 3 garnered 27 percent of the vote, while the company's top line (11 percent) and bottom line (11 percent) results seemed to mean very little.
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According to Trip Chowdhry of Global Equities Research,
Tesla investors should consider
the company's move to discontinue a battery as a "positive development." The analyst suggested that this marks a "step forward in preparation" for the launch of the Model 3 vehicle. Going into the final hour of trading, shares were down more than 1 percent at $146.50. The stock began the year trading above $220.
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